Stockle - the stock oracle

Red Sky Energy Ltd

ASX:ROG
A$0.001Close 7 Oct 2026 · delayed

Past year: ▼ 84%(0.10c – 0.63c AUD)

Market cap
A$4.6m
Shares on issue
4.64bn
In-ground value
A$96.9m
Risked multiple
7.35×
Story beats
—
Last event
—

Value Red Sky Energy Ltd yourself

Five quick questions, every figure from Red Sky Energy Ltd's own disclosures (newest estimate 28 Apr 2026).

16 of 16 targets · best case · 29% overall chanceChance-weighted valueA$28.4mPer shareA$0.0061vs price A$0.0016.12× · +512%
1

What do you want to value?

A target is an oil or gas accumulation Red Sky Energy Ltd has published an estimate for. All of them count to start with, largest first - untick any you don't believe in.

A discovery has already been drilled and found oil or gas. A prospect has not been drilled yet, so it carries extra risk that nothing is there. Reserves are already being produced or approved.

2

How big could it be?

Companies give a low, best and high case. Pick one - the badges show how much the targets you picked hold in that case.

The low case has a 90% chance of being matched or beaten, the best case 50%, the high case only 10%. Gas is in billions of cubic feet, oil and condensate in millions of barrels.

50%chance of at least13,026bcf gas
50%chance of at least57.5mmbbl liquids
3

How likely is it?

Two chances multiply together: that the oil or gas is really there, and that it actually gets produced.

Being there only matters for an undrilled prospect - a discovery has already proved it. Getting produced needs funding, approvals, buyers and costs to line up. Reserves carry neither.

Chance it's there30%

Applies to the prospects you picked. 20-35% is typical for an undrilled conventional prospect.

Chance it gets produced50%

Applies to discoveries and prospects. Reserves are already counted as produced.

4

What is it worth in the ground?

Oil or gas still underground is worth far less than at the market - someone still has to pay to drill, build and produce it.

These defaults are a common rule of thumb for in-ground value. Takeover prices and broker reports help if you want your own figure.

5

When will we know?

Red Sky Energy Ltd's own stated next steps, from its announcements.

The further away a result is, the longer your money waits - and the more chance of delays or new shares being issued to fund it.

Red Sky Energy Ltd has not stated dates for its next steps in the announcements we hold.

✓

Your result

A$96.9mif every picked target works
29%overall chance, by value
A$28.4mchance-weighted value

What each way to invest is worth

Chance-weighted value against today's price. Listed options get their own column - usually the most geared way in, and the riskiest.

6.12×
A$0.001ROGshares · 20.9× if it works

Your positions if you're right

What a holding would be worth at your chance-weighted A$0.0061 a share. Nothing here is saved.

Create a free account to save and share these assumptions, or sign in.