Stockle - the stock oracle

NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC.

NYSE:NOG
US$24.18Close 7 Oct 2026 · delayed

Past year: ▲ 9%(18.15 – 29.23 USD)

Market cap
A$3.65bn
Shares on issue
107m
In-ground value
A$1.22bn
Risked multiple
0.33×
Story beats
48 since 2018
Last event
1 June 2026

Value NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC. yourself

Five quick questions, every figure from NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC.'s own disclosures (newest estimate 26 Feb 2026).

1 of 1 target · best case · 100% overall chanceChance-weighted valueA$1.22bnPer shareUS$8.08vs price US$24.180.33× · −67%
1

What do you want to value?

A target is an oil or gas accumulation NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC. has published an estimate for. All of them count to start with, largest first - untick any you don't believe in.

A discovery has already been drilled and found oil or gas. A prospect has not been drilled yet, so it carries extra risk that nothing is there. Reserves are already being produced or approved.

2

How big could it be?

Companies give a low, best and high case. Pick one - the badges show how much the targets you picked hold in that case.

The low case has a 90% chance of being matched or beaten, the best case 50%, the high case only 10%. Gas is in billions of cubic feet, oil and condensate in millions of barrels.

50%chance of at least1,195bcf gas
50%chance of at least185mmbbl liquids
3

How likely is it?

Two chances multiply together: that the oil or gas is really there, and that it actually gets produced.

Being there only matters for an undrilled prospect - a discovery has already proved it. Getting produced needs funding, approvals, buyers and costs to line up. Reserves carry neither.

Chance it's theren/a

Your targets are already discovered, so this chance doesn't apply. Pick a prospect to use it.

Chance it gets producedn/a

Only reserves are picked, so nothing here is risked.

4

What is it worth in the ground?

Oil or gas still underground is worth far less than at the market - someone still has to pay to drill, build and produce it.

These defaults are a common rule of thumb for in-ground value. Takeover prices and broker reports help if you want your own figure.

5

When will we know?

NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC.'s own stated next steps, from its announcements.

The further away a result is, the longer your money waits - and the more chance of delays or new shares being issued to fund it.

NORTHERN OIL & GAS, INC. has not stated dates for its next steps in the announcements we hold.

✓

Your result

A$1.22bnif every picked target works
100%overall chance, by value
A$1.22bnchance-weighted value

What each way to invest is worth

Chance-weighted value against today's price. Listed options get their own column - usually the most geared way in, and the riskiest.

NOGshares · 0.3× if it worksUS$24.18
0.33×

Your positions if you're right

What a holding would be worth at your chance-weighted US$8.08 a share. Nothing here is saved.

Create a free account to save and share these assumptions, or sign in.