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MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP

NYSE:MNR
US$10.66Close 7 Oct 2026 · delayed

Past year: ▼ 11%(10.24 – 14.00 USD)

Market cap
A$2.52bn
Shares on issue
167m
In-ground value
A$1.63bn
Risked multiple
0.65×
Story beats
10 since 2023
Last event
17 Sept 2025

Value MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP yourself

Five quick questions, every figure from MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP's own disclosures (newest estimate 6 Apr 2026).

1 of 1 target · best case · 100% overall chanceChance-weighted valueA$1.63bnPer shareUS$6.88vs price US$10.660.65× · −35%
1

What do you want to value?

A target is an oil or gas accumulation MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP has published an estimate for. All of them count to start with, largest first - untick any you don't believe in.

A discovery has already been drilled and found oil or gas. A prospect has not been drilled yet, so it carries extra risk that nothing is there. Reserves are already being produced or approved.

2

How big could it be?

Companies give a low, best and high case. Pick one - the badges show how much the targets you picked hold in that case.

The low case has a 90% chance of being matched or beaten, the best case 50%, the high case only 10%. Gas is in billions of cubic feet, oil and condensate in millions of barrels.

50%chance of at least2,910bcf gas
50%chance of at least116mmbbl liquids
3

How likely is it?

Two chances multiply together: that the oil or gas is really there, and that it actually gets produced.

Being there only matters for an undrilled prospect - a discovery has already proved it. Getting produced needs funding, approvals, buyers and costs to line up. Reserves carry neither.

Chance it's theren/a

Your targets are already discovered, so this chance doesn't apply. Pick a prospect to use it.

Chance it gets producedn/a

Only reserves are picked, so nothing here is risked.

4

What is it worth in the ground?

Oil or gas still underground is worth far less than at the market - someone still has to pay to drill, build and produce it.

These defaults are a common rule of thumb for in-ground value. Takeover prices and broker reports help if you want your own figure.

5

When will we know?

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP's own stated next steps, from its announcements.

The further away a result is, the longer your money waits - and the more chance of delays or new shares being issued to fund it.

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP has not stated dates for its next steps in the announcements we hold.

✓

Your result

A$1.63bnif every picked target works
100%overall chance, by value
A$1.63bnchance-weighted value

What each way to invest is worth

Chance-weighted value against today's price. Listed options get their own column - usually the most geared way in, and the riskiest.

MNRshares · 0.6× if it worksUS$10.66
0.65×

Your positions if you're right

What a holding would be worth at your chance-weighted US$6.88 a share. Nothing here is saved.

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