Stockle - the stock oracle

Elixir Energy Ltd

ASX:EXR
A$0.060Close 7 Oct 2026 · delayed

Past year: ▲ 43%(4.20c – 15.0c AUD)

Market cap
A$120m
Shares on issue
1.99bn
In-ground value
A$3.25bn
Risked multiple
9.28×
Story beats
—
Last event
—

Value Elixir Energy Ltd yourself

Five quick questions, every figure from Elixir Energy Ltd's own disclosures (newest estimate 26 Nov 2025).

18 of 18 targets · best case · 28% overall chanceChance-weighted valueA$905.0mPer shareA$0.4538vs price A$0.0607.56× · +656%
1

What do you want to value?

A target is an oil or gas accumulation Elixir Energy Ltd has published an estimate for. All of them count to start with, largest first - untick any you don't believe in.

A discovery has already been drilled and found oil or gas. A prospect has not been drilled yet, so it carries extra risk that nothing is there. Reserves are already being produced or approved.

2

How big could it be?

Companies give a low, best and high case. Pick one - the badges show how much the targets you picked hold in that case.

The low case has a 90% chance of being matched or beaten, the best case 50%, the high case only 10%. Gas is in billions of cubic feet, oil and condensate in millions of barrels.

50%chance of at least5,794bcf gas
50%chance of at least579mmbbl liquids
3

How likely is it?

Two chances multiply together: that the oil or gas is really there, and that it actually gets produced.

Being there only matters for an undrilled prospect - a discovery has already proved it. Getting produced needs funding, approvals, buyers and costs to line up. Reserves carry neither.

Chance it's there30%

Applies to the prospects you picked. 20-35% is typical for an undrilled conventional prospect.

Chance it gets produced50%

Applies to discoveries and prospects. Reserves are already counted as produced.

4

What is it worth in the ground?

Oil or gas still underground is worth far less than at the market - someone still has to pay to drill, build and produce it.

These defaults are a common rule of thumb for in-ground value. Takeover prices and broker reports help if you want your own figure.

5

When will we know?

Elixir Energy Ltd's own stated next steps, from its announcements.

The further away a result is, the longer your money waits - and the more chance of delays or new shares being issued to fund it.

  • Oct 2026Next step · Lorelle-3Hsecond phase of flow testing scheduled to commence 1 October 2026
✓

Your result

A$3.25bnif every picked target works
28%overall chance, by value
A$905.0mchance-weighted value

What each way to invest is worth

Chance-weighted value against today's price. Listed options get their own column - usually the most geared way in, and the riskiest.

7.56×
A$0.060EXRshares · 27.1× if it works

Your positions if you're right

What a holding would be worth at your chance-weighted A$0.4538 a share. Nothing here is saved.

Create a free account to save and share these assumptions, or sign in.